Justin Steele

Pitcher Profile

Justin Steele is a left-handed starting pitcher for the Chicago Cubs with a Stuff+ score of 112 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 9.5 strikeouts per 9 innings, Steele demonstrates above-average strikeout rate combined with average control (2.8 BB/9). Averaging 6 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 6.3 strikeouts per outing. The above-average ERA baseline (3.2) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Steele's 6.3-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 6.3 Ks, 3.2 ERA, 6 IP, and 2.8 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

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