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MLB Pitcher Strikeout Props & Projections 2026

Baseline K/9, ERA, Stuff+, and projected strikeouts per start for every MLB rotation arm. Click any pitcher for a detailed prop breakdown.

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Weather · opponent splits · park factors — updated for every game

Pitcher	Team	Hand	K/9	ERA	BB/9	Avg IP	Stuff+	Proj K
Gerrit Cole	New York Yankees	RHP	11.5	3.05	1.9	6.5	126	8.3
Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Rays	LHP	11	3	2.8	6	125	7.3
Garrett Crochet	Boston Red Sox	LHP	11.5	3	3	5.5	118	7.0
Dylan Cease	Toronto Blue Jays	RHP	13.1	2.41	3.8	6	118	8.7
Max Fried	New York Yankees	LHP	9.5	3.15	2.2	6.5	115	6.9
Shane Baz	Baltimore Orioles	RHP	7.9	3.98	3.2	5.8	114	5.1
Carlos Rodon	New York Yankees	LHP	10.8	4.5	3.8	5.5	112	6.6
Kevin Gausman	Toronto Blue Jays	RHP	9.1	4.51	2.6	5.5	112	5.6
Shane Bieber	Toronto Blue Jays	RHP	9.5	3.17	1.8	6.5	112	6.9
Sonny Gray	Boston Red Sox	RHP	7.8	2.93	2.4	5.7	112	4.9
Luis Gil	New York Yankees	RHP	10.2	3.5	4	5.5	108	6.2
Kyle Bradish	Baltimore Orioles	RHP	8.7	3.74	4	5.6	108	5.4
Ranger Suarez	Boston Red Sox	LHP	8.8	3.5	2.5	6	108	5.9
Brayan Bello	Boston Red Sox	RHP	9	4.1	3.2	6	103	6.0
Trevor Rogers	Baltimore Orioles	LHP	9	4.3	3.5	5.5	103	5.5
Will Warren	New York Yankees	RHP	8.8	3.22	2.8	5.8	103	5.7
Garrett Whitlock	Boston Red Sox	RHP	8.5	4.2	2.5	5.5	102	5.2
Connelly Early	Boston Red Sox	LHP	8.6	3.26	2	5.5	102	5.3
Tyler Wells	Baltimore Orioles	RHP	8.5	4.5	2.5	5.5	102	5.2
Nick Martinez	Tampa Bay Rays	RHP	5	2.77	1.5	5.9	101	3.3
Trey Gibson	Baltimore Orioles	RHP	8.5	3.65	3.2	5	100	4.7
Dean Kremer	Baltimore Orioles	RHP	7.8	4.5	2.5	5.8	99	5.0
Paul Blackburn	New York Yankees	RHP	7	4.6	2	5.8	96	4.5
Ian Seymour	Tampa Bay Rays	LHP	9.6	5.23	4	1.5	95	1.6

Pitcher	Team	Hand	K/9	ERA	BB/9	Avg IP	Stuff+	Proj K
Tarik Skubal	Detroit Tigers	LHP	11	2.8	2	7	130	8.6
Michael Kopech	Chicago White Sox	RHP	10.5	4.5	4	4.5	112	5.3
Framber Valdez	Detroit Tigers	LHP	7.3	4.53	3.3	5.4	112	4.4
Jack Flaherty	Detroit Tigers	RHP	10.2	3.17	2.8	6	112	6.8
Gavin Williams	Cleveland Guardians	RHP	11.3	3.71	2.6	6.1	110	7.7
Joe Ryan	Minnesota Twins	RHP	10.1	3.52	1.9	5.5	110	6.2
Bailey Ober	Minnesota Twins	RHP	9	3.8	1.8	6	108	6.0
Justin Verlander	Detroit Tigers	RHP	9	3.6	2.2	6	108	6.0
Jordan Hicks	Chicago White Sox	RHP	9	4.5	3.5	5.5	108	5.5
Tanner Bibee	Cleveland Guardians	RHP	6.8	3.81	2.6	5.8	107	4.4
Seth Lugo	Kansas City Royals	RHP	7	4.22	2.9	5.6	105	4.4
Taj Bradley	Minnesota Twins	RHP	10.4	3.65	3.7	5.7	104	6.6
Chris Paddack	Minnesota Twins	RHP	8.8	4	2.5	5.5	104	5.4
Casey Mize	Detroit Tigers	RHP	8.5	4	2.5	5.8	104	5.5
Mitch Spence	Kansas City Royals	RHP	8	4.5	2.8	5	101	4.4
Beau Brieske	Detroit Tigers	RHP	8	4.5	3	5.3	100	4.7
Sean Burke	Chicago White Sox	RHP	10.1	3.04	2.7	6.9	98	7.7
Erick Fedde	Chicago White Sox	RHP	7.5	4.5	2.5	5.5	97	4.6
Chris Flexen	Chicago White Sox	RHP	6.5	5	2.5	5	90	3.6

Pitcher	Team	Hand	K/9	ERA	BB/9	Avg IP	Stuff+	Proj K
Logan Gilbert	Seattle Mariners	RHP	9.5	3.44	1.9	6	115	6.3
Luis Castillo	Seattle Mariners	RHP	9.2	3.4	2.5	6.5	113	6.6
Grayson Rodriguez	Los Angeles Angels	RHP	10.2	3.4	3	5.8	112	6.6
Bryan Woo	Seattle Mariners	RHP	9.1	4.56	1.9	5.7	111	5.8
George Kirby	Seattle Mariners	RHP	8	3.98	1.9	6	109	5.3
Hunter Brown	Houston Astros	RHP	9.5	3.8	3	6	108	6.3
Kumar Rocker	Texas Rangers	RHP	9	4.5	3	5.5	108	5.5
Nathan Eovaldi	Texas Rangers	RHP	9.5	4.31	2.1	6.1	107	6.4
Luis Medina	Athletics	RHP	9.5	5	4.5	4.5	107	4.8
MacKenzie Gore	Texas Rangers	LHP	10	4.77	3.2	5.3	107	5.9
Ronel Blanco	Houston Astros	RHP	8.8	3.9	2.8	5.8	105	5.7
Spencer Arrighetti	Houston Astros	RHP	9.5	4.47	4.2	6.5	105	6.9
Reid Detmers	Los Angeles Angels	LHP	10.4	4.03	2.7	5.7	104	6.6
J.T. Ginn	Athletics	RHP	8.5	4.8	3	5	103	4.7
Jon Gray	Texas Rangers	RHP	8	4.5	2.8	5.8	101	5.2
Cody Bradford	Texas Rangers	LHP	8	4.2	2	5.5	101	4.9
Joey Estes	Athletics	RHP	8.5	4.3	3	5.5	101	5.2
Aaron Civale	Athletics	RHP	8	4.5	2	5.5	100	4.9
Jeffrey Springs	Athletics	LHP	8.5	4.01	2.5	5.5	100	5.2
Emerson Hancock	Seattle Mariners	RHP	7.5	2.8	2.5	5.8	97	4.8
Tyler Anderson	Los Angeles Angels	LHP	7.5	4.5	2.5	5.8	97	4.8
Jose Suarez	Athletics	LHP	7.8	4.8	3	5.5	97	4.8
Cal Quantrill	Texas Rangers	RHP	7.5	5.5	2.5	5.5	95	4.6

Pitcher	Team	Hand	K/9	ERA	BB/9	Avg IP	Stuff+	Proj K
Spencer Strider	Atlanta Braves	RHP	13	2.5	2.5	6	135	8.7
Zack Wheeler	Philadelphia Phillies	RHP	10.5	2.9	1.8	7	125	8.2
Kodai Senga	New York Mets	RHP	10.5	3.1	2.8	6	120	7.0
Cristopher Sanchez	Philadelphia Phillies	LHP	10.2	2.73	1.8	6.3	118	7.1
Sandy Alcantara	Miami Marlins	RHP	6.9	3.82	2.3	6.6	116	5.1
Freddy Peralta	New York Mets	RHP	8.9	4.99	3.8	5.2	116	5.1
Chris Sale	Atlanta Braves	LHP	11	2.08	2	5.8	115	7.1
Aaron Nola	Philadelphia Phillies	RHP	9.2	5.61	3.1	5.2	115	5.3
Eury Perez	Miami Marlins	RHP	10.5	4.2	3.5	5	112	5.8
Reynaldo Lopez	Atlanta Braves	RHP	10	3.8	2.8	5.8	110	6.4
Jesus Luzardo	Philadelphia Phillies	LHP	11	3.57	2.9	5.8	110	7.1
Sean Manaea	New York Mets	LHP	9.5	3.7	2.5	6	108	6.3
Braxton Garrett	Miami Marlins	LHP	9	4.2	3	5.5	104	5.5
Cade Cavalli	Washington Nationals	RHP	10	3.55	2.8	5.1	104	5.7
Bryce Elder	Atlanta Braves	RHP	7.6	3.84	3	5.7	98	4.8
Trevor Williams	Washington Nationals	RHP	7.5	4.5	2.2	5.8	98	4.8
Zack Littell	Washington Nationals	RHP	7.5	4.2	2	5.8	98	4.8
Jake Irvin	Washington Nationals	RHP	7.8	4.8	2.8	5.5	97	4.8
Miles Mikolas	Washington Nationals	RHP	6.5	4.5	2.5	5.8	96	4.2
Martin Perez	Atlanta Braves	LHP	7.5	4.5	2.5	5.5	96	4.6

Pitcher	Team	Hand	K/9	ERA	BB/9	Avg IP	Stuff+	Proj K
Paul Skenes	Pittsburgh Pirates	RHP	11.3	3.9	2.3	5.4	135	6.8
Hunter Greene	Cincinnati Reds	RHP	11.5	3.5	3	6	122	7.7
Jared Jones	Pittsburgh Pirates	RHP	10.5	4	3.5	5.5	112	6.4
Nick Lodolo	Cincinnati Reds	LHP	10	4	3	5.8	110	6.4
Mitch Keller	Pittsburgh Pirates	RHP	6.9	4.83	3	5.4	109	4.1
Edward Cabrera	Chicago Cubs	RHP	10	4.5	4	5	108	5.6
Brandon Williamson	Cincinnati Reds	LHP	9.5	4.5	3.5	5	106	5.3
Dustin May	St. Louis Cardinals	RHP	8.5	4.2	2.5	5.5	106	5.2
Brady Singer	Cincinnati Reds	RHP	8.5	4.2	2.5	6	103	5.7
Jameson Taillon	Chicago Cubs	RHP	8	4.2	2	6	103	5.3
Javier Assad	Chicago Cubs	RHP	8.5	4	2.5	5.8	103	5.5
Jordan Wicks	Chicago Cubs	LHP	8.5	4.3	2.8	5.5	103	5.2
Colin Rea	Chicago Cubs	RHP	6.7	4.67	3.2	6.2	103	4.6
David Peterson	Chicago Cubs	LHP	8.5	4.5	2.8	5.5	101	5.2
Matthew Liberatore	St. Louis Cardinals	LHP	8.5	4.5	3.2	5.5	101	5.2
Marcus Stroman	Chicago Cubs	RHP	7.5	4	2.5	6	99	5.0
Graham Ashcraft	Cincinnati Reds	RHP	8	4.8	3.5	5.5	99	4.9
Michael McGreevy	St. Louis Cardinals	RHP	5.9	3.57	2.3	5.5	97	3.6
Andre Pallante	St. Louis Cardinals	RHP	6.5	3.72	2.6	5.7	96	4.1
Andrew Abbott	Cincinnati Reds	LHP	7.2	3.85	4.2	5.3	95	4.2
Wade Miley	Milwaukee Brewers	LHP	6.5	4.5	2.5	5.5	90	4.0

Pitcher	Team	Hand	K/9	ERA	BB/9	Avg IP	Stuff+	Proj K
Tyler Glasnow	Los Angeles Dodgers	RHP	12.5	3	3	6	130	8.3
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Los Angeles Dodgers	RHP	8.5	2.72	2	6.6	128	6.2
Blake Snell	Los Angeles Dodgers	LHP	11.5	3.8	4.5	5.5	118	7.0
Zac Gallen	Arizona Diamondbacks	RHP	9.2	3.4	2.2	6.5	112	6.6
Michael King	San Diego Padres	RHP	7.8	3.38	3.6	5.7	112	4.9
Bobby Miller	Los Angeles Dodgers	RHP	9.5	3.8	2.8	5.8	110	6.1
Robbie Ray	San Francisco Giants	LHP	7.9	3.08	4.2	5.8	110	5.1
Tyler Mahle	San Francisco Giants	RHP	9.5	4	3	5.8	107	6.1
Brandon Pfaadt	Arizona Diamondbacks	RHP	9	4	2.5	6	107	6.0
Lucas Giolito	San Diego Padres	RHP	9	4.5	3.5	5	105	5.0
Merrill Kelly	Arizona Diamondbacks	RHP	8	3.8	2	6.5	104	5.8
JP Sears	San Diego Padres	LHP	8.5	4	2.5	5.8	102	5.5
Logan Webb	San Francisco Giants	RHP	7	3.93	2.3	6.3	102	4.9
Alex Cobb	San Francisco Giants	RHP	8	4.2	2.5	5.5	102	4.9
Eduardo Rodriguez	Arizona Diamondbacks	LHP	6.1	2.48	3.1	5.9	102	4.0
Griffin Canning	San Diego Padres	RHP	8.5	4.3	3	5.5	101	5.2
Randy Vasquez	San Diego Padres	RHP	8.5	4.5	3	5.5	101	5.2
Ryne Nelson	Arizona Diamondbacks	RHP	8	4.5	3	5.5	100	4.9
Walker Buehler	San Diego Padres	RHP	7.5	4.75	3.5	5	98	4.2
Michael Lorenzen	Colorado Rockies	RHP	7.5	4.5	2.5	5.5	97	4.6
Ryan Feltner	Colorado Rockies	RHP	8.5	6	3.5	5	97	4.7
Kyle Freeland	Colorado Rockies	LHP	7.5	5.5	3	5.5	94	4.6
Chad Kuhl	Colorado Rockies	RHP	7	6	3	5	92	3.9