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Zack Wheeler

Philadelphia Phillies RHP NL East 2026 · baseline (live pending)
10.5
K / 9
2.9
ERA
1.8
BB / 9
7
Avg IP
125
Elite+
Stuff+
8.2
Proj K / Start

Scouting Profile

Zack Wheeler profiles as a prototypical power strikeout starter. His 10.5 K/9 sits in the upper tier of the league (87th percentile), backed by a 125 Stuff+ that reads as elite raw pitch quality. Command grades at the 97th percentile (1.8 BB/9), plus control, over a 7-inning average workload. Within the PHI rotation he grades as the 2nd arm by strikeout rate.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 8.2 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. A steady 7-inning workload gives the counting stats room to accumulate.

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