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Jesus Luzardo

Miami Marlins LHP NL East 2026
9.8
K / 9
3.8
ERA
3.5
BB / 9
6
Avg IP
110
Above Avg
Stuff+
6.5
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Jesus Luzardo is a left-handed starting pitcher for the Miami Marlins with a Stuff+ score of 110 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 9.8 strikeouts per 9 innings, Luzardo demonstrates above-average strikeout rate combined with below-average control (3.5 BB/9). Averaging 6 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 6.5 strikeouts per outing. The solid ERA baseline (3.8) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Luzardo's 6.5-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 6.5 Ks, 3.8 ERA, 6 IP, and 3.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Jesus Luzardo average per start?
Based on a 9.8 K/9 rate across 6 average innings per start, Luzardo projects to approximately 6.5 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Jesus Luzardo's Stuff+ rating?
Luzardo's 2026 Stuff+ is 110 — "Above Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Jesus Luzardo a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 9.8 K/9 and 110 Stuff+, Luzardo has above-average strikeout rate. The deeper workload (6 avg IP) supports higher per-start totals. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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