Jesus Luzardo

Scouting Profile

Jesus Luzardo profiles as a prototypical power strikeout starter. His 11.1 K/9 sits in the top 6% of tracked MLB starters (94th percentile), backed by a 110 Stuff+ that reads as above-average stuff. Command grades at the 49th percentile (2.6 BB/9), average control, over a 6.2-inning average workload. Within the PHI rotation he grades as the 1st arm by strikeout rate — the staff’s top bat-misser.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 7.6 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against left-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. A steady 6.2-inning workload gives the counting stats room to accumulate.

Philadelphia Phillies Rotation