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Edward Cabrera

Chicago Cubs RHP NL Central 2026 · baseline (live pending)
10
K / 9
4.5
ERA
4
BB / 9
5
Avg IP
108
Above Avg
Stuff+
5.6
Proj K / Start

Scouting Profile

Edward Cabrera profiles as a high-octane, high-variance power arm. His 10 K/9 sits in the upper tier of the league (78th percentile), backed by a 108 Stuff+ that reads as above-average stuff. Command grades at the 5th percentile (4 BB/9), shaky command, over a 5-inning average workload. Within the CHC rotation he grades as the 1st arm by strikeout rate — the staff’s top bat-misser.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 5.6 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. The shorter 5-inning workload caps counting-stat upside even on high-whiff days.

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