Sonny Gray

Scouting Profile

Sonny Gray profiles as a balanced mid-rotation arm. His 7.8 K/9 sits in the contact-oriented end of the spectrum (17th percentile), backed by a 112 Stuff+ that reads as above-average stuff. Command grades at the 80th percentile (2.4 BB/9), above-average control, over a 5.7-inning average workload. Within the BOS rotation he grades as the 6th arm by strikeout rate.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 4.9 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. The shorter 5.7-inning workload caps counting-stat upside even on high-whiff days.

Boston Red Sox Rotation