Shane Baz

Pitcher Profile

Shane Baz is a right-handed starting pitcher for the Tampa Bay Rays with a Stuff+ score of 114 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 10.5 strikeouts per 9 innings, Baz demonstrates above-average strikeout rate combined with above-average control (2.5 BB/9). Averaging 5.5 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 6.4 strikeouts per outing. The above-average ERA baseline (3.5) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Baz's 6.4-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 6.4 Ks, 3.5 ERA, 5.5 IP, and 2.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

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