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Will Warren

New York Yankees RHP AL East 2026 · baseline (live pending)
8.8
K / 9
3.22
ERA
2.8
BB / 9
5.8
Avg IP
103
Average
Stuff+
5.7
Proj K / Start

Scouting Profile

Will Warren profiles as a balanced mid-rotation arm. His 8.8 K/9 sits in the middle of the pack (47th percentile), backed by a 103 Stuff+ that reads as roughly league-average stuff. Command grades at the 43rd percentile (2.8 BB/9), average control, over a 5.8-inning average workload. Within the NYY rotation he grades as the 5th arm by strikeout rate.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 5.7 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.2–0.6 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. A steady 5.8-inning workload gives the counting stats room to accumulate.

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