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Carlos Rodon

New York Yankees LHP AL East 2026
10.8
K / 9
4.5
ERA
3.8
BB / 9
5.5
Avg IP
112
Above Avg
Stuff+
6.6
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Carlos Rodon is a left-handed starting pitcher for the New York Yankees with a Stuff+ score of 112 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 10.8 strikeouts per 9 innings, Rodon demonstrates above-average strikeout rate combined with shaky command (3.8 BB/9). Averaging 5.5 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 6.6 strikeouts per outing. The league-average ERA baseline (4.5) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Rodon's 6.6-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 6.6 Ks, 4.5 ERA, 5.5 IP, and 3.8 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Carlos Rodon average per start?
Based on a 10.8 K/9 rate across 5.5 average innings per start, Rodon projects to approximately 6.6 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Carlos Rodon's Stuff+ rating?
Rodon's 2026 Stuff+ is 112 — "Above Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Carlos Rodon a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 10.8 K/9 and 112 Stuff+, Rodon has above-average strikeout rate. Shorter average outings (5.5 IP) can limit counting Ks even at a high rate. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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