HomePitchers › Blake Snell

Blake Snell

Los Angeles Dodgers LHP NL West 2026
11.5
K / 9
3.8
ERA
4.5
BB / 9
5.5
Avg IP
118
Elite
Stuff+
7.0
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Blake Snell is a left-handed starting pitcher for the Los Angeles Dodgers with a Stuff+ score of 118 (elite — MLB average is 100). Posting 11.5 strikeouts per 9 innings, Snell demonstrates elite strikeout ability combined with shaky command (4.5 BB/9). Averaging 5.5 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 7.0 strikeouts per outing. The solid ERA baseline (3.8) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Snell's 7.0-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 7.0 Ks, 3.8 ERA, 5.5 IP, and 4.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Blake Snell average per start?
Based on a 11.5 K/9 rate across 5.5 average innings per start, Snell projects to approximately 7.0 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Blake Snell's Stuff+ rating?
Snell's 2026 Stuff+ is 118 — "Elite" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Blake Snell a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 11.5 K/9 and 118 Stuff+, Snell has elite strikeout ability. Shorter average outings (5.5 IP) can limit counting Ks even at a high rate. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

Get Today's Blake Projection

Live weather · opponent splits · park factors · Bayesian K model

Open PitchProphet Engine →

Los Angeles Dodgers Rotation

📬 Get the Daily Prophet Locks

One email each morning with the day's highest-conviction strikeout props. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.