Paul Blackburn

Scouting Profile

Paul Blackburn profiles as a command-first control artist. His 7 K/9 sits in the contact-oriented end of the spectrum (4th percentile), backed by a 96 Stuff+ that reads as below-average pure stuff. Command grades at the 89th percentile (2 BB/9), plus control, over a 5.8-inning average workload. Within the NYY rotation he grades as the 6th arm by strikeout rate.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 4.5 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.2–0.6 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. A steady 5.8-inning workload gives the counting stats room to accumulate.

New York Yankees Rotation