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Sean Manaea

New York Mets LHP NL East 2026 · baseline (live pending)
9.5
K / 9
3.7
ERA
2.5
BB / 9
6
Avg IP
108
Above Avg
Stuff+
6.3
Proj K / Start

Scouting Profile

Sean Manaea profiles as a prototypical power strikeout starter. His 9.5 K/9 sits in the middle of the pack (68th percentile), backed by a 108 Stuff+ that reads as above-average stuff. Command grades at the 65th percentile (2.5 BB/9), above-average control, over a 6-inning average workload. Within the NYM rotation he grades as the 2nd arm by strikeout rate.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 6.3 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against left-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. A steady 6-inning workload gives the counting stats room to accumulate.

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