Gavin Williams

Scouting Profile

Gavin Williams profiles as a prototypical power strikeout starter. His 12.1 K/9 sits in the top 2% of tracked MLB starters (98th percentile), backed by a 110 Stuff+ that reads as above-average stuff. Command grades at the 43rd percentile (2.8 BB/9), average control, over a 5.8-inning average workload. Within the CLE rotation he grades as the 1st arm by strikeout rate — the staff’s top bat-misser.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 7.8 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. A steady 5.8-inning workload gives the counting stats room to accumulate.

Cleveland Guardians Rotation