Gavin Williams

Pitcher Profile

Gavin Williams is a right-handed starting pitcher for the Cleveland Guardians with a Stuff+ score of 110 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 10.5 strikeouts per 9 innings, Williams demonstrates above-average strikeout rate combined with average control (2.8 BB/9). Averaging 6.3 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 7.3 strikeouts per outing. The above-average ERA baseline (3.2) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Williams's 7.3-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 7.3 Ks, 3.2 ERA, 6.3 IP, and 2.8 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

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