Michael Kopech

Scouting Profile

Michael Kopech profiles as a high-octane, high-variance power arm. His 10.5 K/9 sits in the upper tier of the league (87th percentile), backed by a 112 Stuff+ that reads as above-average stuff. Command grades at the 5th percentile (4 BB/9), shaky command, over a 4.5-inning average workload. Within the CHW rotation he grades as the 1st arm by strikeout rate — the staff’s top bat-misser.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 5.3 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. The shorter 4.5-inning workload caps counting-stat upside even on high-whiff days.

Chicago White Sox Rotation