Dylan Cease

Pitcher Profile

Dylan Cease is a right-handed starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres with a Stuff+ score of 118 (elite — MLB average is 100). Posting 10.5 strikeouts per 9 innings, Cease demonstrates above-average strikeout rate combined with below-average control (3.5 BB/9). Averaging 6 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 7.0 strikeouts per outing. The above-average ERA baseline (3.3) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Cease's 7.0-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 7.0 Ks, 3.3 ERA, 6 IP, and 3.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

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