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Shane Bieber

Toronto Blue Jays RHP AL East 2026 · baseline (live pending)
9.5
K / 9
3.17
ERA
1.8
BB / 9
6.5
Avg IP
112
Above Avg
Stuff+
6.9
Proj K / Start

Scouting Profile

Shane Bieber profiles as a prototypical power strikeout starter. His 9.5 K/9 sits in the middle of the pack (68th percentile), backed by a 112 Stuff+ that reads as above-average stuff. Command grades at the 97th percentile (1.8 BB/9), plus control, over a 6.5-inning average workload. Within the TOR rotation he grades as the 2nd arm by strikeout rate.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 6.9 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. A steady 6.5-inning workload gives the counting stats room to accumulate.

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