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Kyle Freeland

Colorado Rockies LHP NL West 2026
7.5
K / 9
5.5
ERA
3
BB / 9
5.5
Avg IP
94
Below Avg
Stuff+
4.6
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Kyle Freeland is a left-handed starting pitcher for the Colorado Rockies with a Stuff+ score of 94 (below avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 7.5 strikeouts per 9 innings, Freeland demonstrates average strikeout rate combined with average control (3 BB/9). Averaging 5.5 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 4.6 strikeouts per outing. The below-average ERA baseline (5.5) rounds out a reliable projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Freeland's 4.6-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 4.6 Ks, 5.5 ERA, 5.5 IP, and 3 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Kyle Freeland average per start?
Based on a 7.5 K/9 rate across 5.5 average innings per start, Freeland projects to approximately 4.6 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Kyle Freeland's Stuff+ rating?
Freeland's 2026 Stuff+ is 94 — "Below Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Kyle Freeland a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 7.5 K/9 and 94 Stuff+, Freeland has average strikeout rate. Shorter average outings (5.5 IP) can limit counting Ks even at a high rate. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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