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Luis Castillo

Seattle Mariners RHP AL West 2026
9.2
K / 9
3.4
ERA
2.5
BB / 9
6.5
Avg IP
113
Above Avg
Stuff+
6.6
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Luis Castillo is a right-handed starting pitcher for the Seattle Mariners with a Stuff+ score of 113 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 9.2 strikeouts per 9 innings, Castillo demonstrates solid strikeout numbers combined with above-average control (2.5 BB/9). Averaging 6.5 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 6.6 strikeouts per outing. The above-average ERA baseline (3.4) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Castillo's 6.6-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 6.6 Ks, 3.4 ERA, 6.5 IP, and 2.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Luis Castillo average per start?
Based on a 9.2 K/9 rate across 6.5 average innings per start, Castillo projects to approximately 6.6 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Luis Castillo's Stuff+ rating?
Castillo's 2026 Stuff+ is 113 — "Above Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Luis Castillo a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 9.2 K/9 and 113 Stuff+, Castillo has solid strikeout numbers. The deeper workload (6.5 avg IP) supports higher per-start totals. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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