Jared Jones

Scouting Profile

Jared Jones profiles as a high-octane, high-variance power arm. His 10.5 K/9 sits in the upper tier of the league (87th percentile), backed by a 112 Stuff+ that reads as above-average stuff. Command grades at the 14th percentile (3.5 BB/9), below-average control, over a 5.5-inning average workload. Within the PIT rotation he grades as the 1st arm by strikeout rate — the staff’s top bat-misser.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 6.4 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. The shorter 5.5-inning workload caps counting-stat upside even on high-whiff days.

Pittsburgh Pirates Rotation