Jared Jones
Scouting Profile
Jared Jones profiles as a high-octane, high-variance power arm. His 10.5 K/9 sits in the upper tier of the league (87th percentile), backed by a 112 Stuff+ that reads as above-average stuff. Command grades at the 14th percentile (3.5 BB/9), below-average control, over a 5.5-inning average workload. Within the PIT rotation he grades as the 2nd arm by strikeout rate.
2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook
For strikeout props the baseline lands near 6.4 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. The shorter 5.5-inning workload caps counting-stat upside even on high-whiff days.
Get Today's Jared Projection
Live weather · opponent splits · park factors · Bayesian K model
Open PitchProphet Engine →