Paul Skenes

Scouting Profile

Paul Skenes profiles as a prototypical power strikeout starter. His 10.3 K/9 sits in the upper tier of the league (83rd percentile), backed by a 135 Stuff+ that reads as elite raw pitch quality. Command grades at the 65th percentile (2.5 BB/9), above-average control, over a 5.4-inning average workload. Within the PIT rotation he grades as the 2nd arm by strikeout rate.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 6.2 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. The shorter 5.4-inning workload caps counting-stat upside even on high-whiff days.

Pittsburgh Pirates Rotation