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Cade Cavalli

Washington Nationals RHP NL East 2026
9
K / 9
4.5
ERA
3.8
BB / 9
5
Avg IP
104
Average
Stuff+
5.0
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Cade Cavalli is a right-handed starting pitcher for the Washington Nationals with a Stuff+ score of 104 (average — MLB average is 100). Posting 9 strikeouts per 9 innings, Cavalli demonstrates solid strikeout numbers combined with shaky command (3.8 BB/9). Averaging 5 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 5.0 strikeouts per outing. The league-average ERA baseline (4.5) rounds out a reliable projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Cavalli's 5.0-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 5.0 Ks, 4.5 ERA, 5 IP, and 3.8 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Cade Cavalli average per start?
Based on a 9 K/9 rate across 5 average innings per start, Cavalli projects to approximately 5.0 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Cade Cavalli's Stuff+ rating?
Cavalli's 2026 Stuff+ is 104 — "Average" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Cade Cavalli a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 9 K/9 and 104 Stuff+, Cavalli has solid strikeout numbers. Shorter average outings (5 IP) can limit counting Ks even at a high rate. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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