Tarik Skubal

Pitcher Profile

Tarik Skubal is a left-handed starting pitcher for the Detroit Tigers with a Stuff+ score of 130 (elite+ — MLB average is 100). Posting 11 strikeouts per 9 innings, Skubal demonstrates elite strikeout ability combined with plus control (2 BB/9). Averaging 7 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 8.6 strikeouts per outing. The elite ERA baseline (2.8) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Skubal's 8.6-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 8.6 Ks, 2.8 ERA, 7 IP, and 2 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

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