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Brandon Pfaadt

Arizona Diamondbacks RHP NL West 2026
9
K / 9
4
ERA
2.5
BB / 9
6
Avg IP
107
Above Avg
Stuff+
6.0
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Brandon Pfaadt is a right-handed starting pitcher for the Arizona Diamondbacks with a Stuff+ score of 107 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 9 strikeouts per 9 innings, Pfaadt demonstrates solid strikeout numbers combined with above-average control (2.5 BB/9). Averaging 6 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 6.0 strikeouts per outing. The solid ERA baseline (4) rounds out a reliable projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Pfaadt's 6.0-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 6.0 Ks, 4 ERA, 6 IP, and 2.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Brandon Pfaadt average per start?
Based on a 9 K/9 rate across 6 average innings per start, Pfaadt projects to approximately 6.0 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Brandon Pfaadt's Stuff+ rating?
Pfaadt's 2026 Stuff+ is 107 — "Above Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Brandon Pfaadt a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 9 K/9 and 107 Stuff+, Pfaadt has solid strikeout numbers. The deeper workload (6 avg IP) supports higher per-start totals. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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