JP Sears

Scouting Profile

JP Sears profiles as a balanced mid-rotation arm. His 8.5 K/9 sits in the contact-oriented end of the spectrum (36th percentile), backed by a 102 Stuff+ that reads as below-average pure stuff. Command grades at the 65th percentile (2.5 BB/9), above-average control, over a 5.8-inning average workload. Within the SDP rotation he grades as the 2nd arm by strikeout rate.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 5.5 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against left-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.2–0.6 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. A steady 5.8-inning workload gives the counting stats room to accumulate.

San Diego Padres Rotation