HomePitchers › Nestor Cortes

Nestor Cortes

New York Yankees LHP AL East 2026
9.2
K / 9
4.1
ERA
2.5
BB / 9
5.5
Avg IP
107
Above Avg
Stuff+
5.6
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Nestor Cortes is a left-handed starting pitcher for the New York Yankees with a Stuff+ score of 107 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 9.2 strikeouts per 9 innings, Cortes demonstrates solid strikeout numbers combined with above-average control (2.5 BB/9). Averaging 5.5 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 5.6 strikeouts per outing. The league-average ERA baseline (4.1) rounds out a reliable projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Cortes's 5.6-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 5.6 Ks, 4.1 ERA, 5.5 IP, and 2.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Nestor Cortes average per start?
Based on a 9.2 K/9 rate across 5.5 average innings per start, Cortes projects to approximately 5.6 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Nestor Cortes's Stuff+ rating?
Cortes's 2026 Stuff+ is 107 — "Above Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Nestor Cortes a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 9.2 K/9 and 107 Stuff+, Cortes has solid strikeout numbers. Shorter average outings (5.5 IP) can limit counting Ks even at a high rate. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

Get Today's Nestor Projection

Live weather · opponent splits · park factors · Bayesian K model

Open PitchProphet Engine →

New York Yankees Rotation

📬 Get the Daily Prophet Locks

One email each morning with the day's highest-conviction strikeout props. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.