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Bowden Francis

Toronto Blue Jays RHP AL East 2026
9
K / 9
4.3
ERA
2.8
BB / 9
5.5
Avg IP
105
Above Avg
Stuff+
5.5
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Bowden Francis is a right-handed starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays with a Stuff+ score of 105 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 9 strikeouts per 9 innings, Francis demonstrates solid strikeout numbers combined with average control (2.8 BB/9). Averaging 5.5 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 5.5 strikeouts per outing. The league-average ERA baseline (4.3) rounds out a reliable projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Francis's 5.5-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 5.5 Ks, 4.3 ERA, 5.5 IP, and 2.8 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Bowden Francis average per start?
Based on a 9 K/9 rate across 5.5 average innings per start, Francis projects to approximately 5.5 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Bowden Francis's Stuff+ rating?
Francis's 2026 Stuff+ is 105 — "Above Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Bowden Francis a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 9 K/9 and 105 Stuff+, Francis has solid strikeout numbers. Shorter average outings (5.5 IP) can limit counting Ks even at a high rate. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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