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Jose Berrios

Toronto Blue Jays RHP AL East 2026
8.8
K / 9
4.5
ERA
2.5
BB / 9
6
Avg IP
103
Average
Stuff+
5.9
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Jose Berrios is a right-handed starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays with a Stuff+ score of 103 (average — MLB average is 100). Posting 8.8 strikeouts per 9 innings, Berrios demonstrates solid strikeout numbers combined with above-average control (2.5 BB/9). Averaging 6 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 5.9 strikeouts per outing. The league-average ERA baseline (4.5) rounds out a reliable projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Berrios's 5.9-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 5.9 Ks, 4.5 ERA, 6 IP, and 2.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Jose Berrios average per start?
Based on a 8.8 K/9 rate across 6 average innings per start, Berrios projects to approximately 5.9 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Jose Berrios's Stuff+ rating?
Berrios's 2026 Stuff+ is 103 — "Average" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Jose Berrios a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 8.8 K/9 and 103 Stuff+, Berrios has solid strikeout numbers. The deeper workload (6 avg IP) supports higher per-start totals. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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