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Luis Severino

New York Mets RHP NL East 2026
9
K / 9
3.9
ERA
2.5
BB / 9
5.8
Avg IP
107
Above Avg
Stuff+
5.8
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Luis Severino is a right-handed starting pitcher for the New York Mets with a Stuff+ score of 107 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 9 strikeouts per 9 innings, Severino demonstrates solid strikeout numbers combined with above-average control (2.5 BB/9). Averaging 5.8 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 5.8 strikeouts per outing. The solid ERA baseline (3.9) rounds out a reliable projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Severino's 5.8-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 5.8 Ks, 3.9 ERA, 5.8 IP, and 2.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Luis Severino average per start?
Based on a 9 K/9 rate across 5.8 average innings per start, Severino projects to approximately 5.8 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Luis Severino's Stuff+ rating?
Severino's 2026 Stuff+ is 107 — "Above Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Luis Severino a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 9 K/9 and 107 Stuff+, Severino has solid strikeout numbers. Shorter average outings (5.8 IP) can limit counting Ks even at a high rate. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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