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Ryan Pepiot

Tampa Bay Rays RHP AL East 2026
9.2
K / 9
3.9
ERA
3
BB / 9
5.8
Avg IP
106
Above Avg
Stuff+
5.9
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Ryan Pepiot is a right-handed starting pitcher for the Tampa Bay Rays with a Stuff+ score of 106 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 9.2 strikeouts per 9 innings, Pepiot demonstrates solid strikeout numbers combined with average control (3 BB/9). Averaging 5.8 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 5.9 strikeouts per outing. The solid ERA baseline (3.9) rounds out a reliable projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Pepiot's 5.9-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 5.9 Ks, 3.9 ERA, 5.8 IP, and 3 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Ryan Pepiot average per start?
Based on a 9.2 K/9 rate across 5.8 average innings per start, Pepiot projects to approximately 5.9 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Ryan Pepiot's Stuff+ rating?
Pepiot's 2026 Stuff+ is 106 — "Above Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Ryan Pepiot a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 9.2 K/9 and 106 Stuff+, Pepiot has solid strikeout numbers. Shorter average outings (5.8 IP) can limit counting Ks even at a high rate. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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