Corbin Burnes

Scouting Profile

Corbin Burnes profiles as a prototypical power strikeout starter. His 9.5 K/9 sits in the middle of the pack (68th percentile), backed by a 118 Stuff+ that reads as elite raw pitch quality. Command grades at the 97th percentile (1.8 BB/9), plus control, over a 6.5-inning average workload. Within the ARI rotation he grades as the 1st arm by strikeout rate — the staff’s top bat-misser.

2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook

For strikeout props the baseline lands near 6.9 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.4–0.9 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. A steady 6.5-inning workload gives the counting stats room to accumulate.

Arizona Diamondbacks Rotation