Nick Pivetta
Scouting Profile
Nick Pivetta profiles as a balanced mid-rotation arm. His 9.8 K/9 sits in the upper tier of the league (76th percentile), backed by a 104 Stuff+ that reads as roughly league-average stuff. Command grades at the 14th percentile (3.5 BB/9), below-average control, over a 5.5-inning average workload. Within the SDP rotation he grades as the 1st arm by strikeout rate — the staff’s top bat-misser.
2026 Strikeout Prop Outlook
For strikeout props the baseline lands near 6.0 Ks, but the daily number moves with the matchup: a lineup that whiffs more than average against right-handers pushes it up, a contact-heavy one pulls it down — the L3 opponent split is the single largest swing. Cold air and a pitcher-friendly park add roughly 0.2–0.6 K; a hitter’s park trims the ERA side. The shorter 5.5-inning workload caps counting-stat upside even on high-whiff days.
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