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Yu Darvish

San Diego Padres RHP NL West 2026
9.5
K / 9
3.8
ERA
2.5
BB / 9
6
Avg IP
110
Above Avg
Stuff+
6.3
Proj K / Start

Pitcher Profile

Yu Darvish is a right-handed starting pitcher for the San Diego Padres with a Stuff+ score of 110 (above avg — MLB average is 100). Posting 9.5 strikeouts per 9 innings, Darvish demonstrates above-average strikeout rate combined with above-average control (2.5 BB/9). Averaging 6 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 6.3 strikeouts per outing. The solid ERA baseline (3.8) rounds out a high-upside projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Darvish's 6.3-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 6.3 Ks, 3.8 ERA, 6 IP, and 2.5 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

How many strikeouts does Yu Darvish average per start?
Based on a 9.5 K/9 rate across 6 average innings per start, Darvish projects to approximately 6.3 strikeouts per outing. This shifts with ballpark, weather, and opponent quality.
What is Yu Darvish's Stuff+ rating?
Darvish's 2026 Stuff+ is 110 — "Above Avg" relative to the MLB average of 100. This metric evaluates raw pitch quality (velocity, movement, spin rate) and is the strongest single predictor of future strikeout rate.
Is Yu Darvish a good strikeout prop pick in 2026?
With 9.5 K/9 and 110 Stuff+, Darvish has above-average strikeout rate. The deeper workload (6 avg IP) supports higher per-start totals. Check the live PitchProphet projection for today's matchup-adjusted line.

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