Zach Eflin

Pitcher Profile

Zach Eflin is a right-handed starting pitcher for the Tampa Bay Rays with a Stuff+ score of 102 (average — MLB average is 100). Posting 8 strikeouts per 9 innings, Eflin demonstrates average strikeout rate combined with plus control (1.8 BB/9). Averaging 6.2 innings per start, the baseline projection targets 5.5 strikeouts per outing. The solid ERA baseline (3.7) rounds out a reliable projection profile.

PitchProphet's 4-layer model adjusts Eflin's 5.5-K baseline daily: L1 season stats → L2 weather & air density → L3 opponent K% splits → L4 park factors. On a neutral day vs. an average lineup, the target lines are 5.5 Ks, 3.7 ERA, 6.2 IP, and 1.8 BB/9. Colder weather and favorable wind add roughly 0.3–0.8 extra Ks; high-altitude parks like Coors subtract from the ERA side.

Prop FAQ

Tampa Bay Rays Rotation