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MLB Pitcher Strikeout Props — Sunday, March 1, 2026

Top projected strikeout arms today: Tarik Skubal (8.6 K), Gavin Williams (7.2 K), Reynaldo Lopez (6.3 K). Projected strikeouts for every probable starter, adjusted for opponent K-rate and ballpark. 16 games on the slate.

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Orioles @ SoxJetBlue Park · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 7.5 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
4.9
proj K vs Sox
Neutral matchup
@
LHP · 8.8 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
5.4
proj K vs Orioles
Neutral matchup
Pirates @ CardinalsRoger Dean Chevrolet Stadium · 1:05 PM ET
Hunter Barco
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Kyle Leahy
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Jays @ TigersPublix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium · 1:05 PM ET
Grant Rogers
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
LHP · 11 K/9 · 130 Stuff+
8.6
proj K vs Jays
Neutral matchup
Rays @ BravesCoolToday Park · 1:05 PM ET
Drew Rasmussen
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 10 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
6.3
proj K vs Rays
Neutral matchup
Braves @ TwinsLee Health Sports Complex · 1:05 PM ET
Grant Holmes
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Mick Abel
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Marlins @ NationalsCACTI Park of the Palm Beaches · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 8.8 K/9 · 104 Stuff+
5.5
proj K vs Nationals
Neutral matchup
@
Brad Lord
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Yankees @ PhilliesBayCare Ballpark · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 9.7 K/9 · 103 Stuff+
5.5
proj K vs Phillies
Neutral matchup
@
Andrew Painter
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Astros @ MetsClover Park · 1:10 PM ET
Jason Alexander
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Clay Holmes
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Rockies @ GuardiansGoodyear Ballpark · 3:05 PM ET
Chase Dollander
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 10.3 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
7.2
proj K vs Rockies
Favorable K matchup
Angels @ DodgersCamelback Ranch · 3:05 PM ET
LHP · 10 K/9 · 104 Stuff+
6.2
proj K vs Dodgers
Tough K matchup
@
Landon Knack
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Reds @ AthleticsHohokam Stadium · 3:05 PM ET
LHP · 6.8 K/9 · 95 Stuff+
4.2
proj K vs Athletics
Favorable K matchup
@
RHP · 7.9 K/9 · 103 Stuff+
5.2
proj K vs Reds
Neutral matchup
Padres @ GiantsScottsdale Stadium · 3:05 PM ET
Germán Márquez
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 7.6 K/9 · 102 Stuff+
5.4
proj K vs Padres
Neutral matchup
Sox @ CubsSloan Park · 3:05 PM ET
Anthony Kay
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Shota Imanaga
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Brewers @ RoyalsSurprise Stadium · 3:05 PM ET
Chad Patrick
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Kris Bubic
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Guardians @ DiamondbacksSalt River Fields at Talking Stick · 3:10 PM ET
Daniel Espino
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Michael Soroka
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Rangers @ MarinersPeoria Stadium · 3:10 PM ET
Jacob Latz
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 9.7 K/9 · 115 Stuff+
6.2
proj K vs Rangers
Neutral matchup

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Proj K reflects each pitcher's baseline rate adjusted for the opposing lineup's strikeout rate vs. that hand (L3) and the ballpark's strikeout environment (L4). Game-day weather (L2) is applied in the live engine. For entertainment purposes only.

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