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MLB Pitcher Strikeout Props — Sunday, May 3, 2026

Top projected strikeout arms today: Spencer Strider (8.6 K), Jesus Luzardo (6.9 K), Max Fried (6.9 K). Projected strikeouts for every probable starter, adjusted for opponent K-rate and ballpark. 15 games on the slate.

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Jays @ TwinsTarget Field · 12:45 PM ET
Trey Yesavage
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 10 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
6.4
proj K vs Jays
Neutral matchup
Astros @ SoxFenway Park · 1:35 PM ET
Cody Bolton
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
LHP · 8.8 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
5.4
proj K vs Astros
Tough K matchup
Reds @ PiratesPNC Park · 1:35 PM ET
Chase Burns
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Braxton Ashcraft
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Orioles @ YankeesYankee Stadium · 1:35 PM ET
RHP · 8.5 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
4.6
proj K vs Yankees
Tough K matchup
@
LHP · 9.5 K/9 · 115 Stuff+
6.9
proj K vs Orioles
Neutral matchup
Brewers @ NationalsNationals Park · 1:35 PM ET
Logan Henderson
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
PJ Poulin
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Giants @ RaysTropicana Field · 1:40 PM ET
RHP · 9.5 K/9 · 107 Stuff+
6.1
proj K vs Rays
Neutral matchup
@
Steven Matz
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Phillies @ MarlinsloanDepot park · 1:40 PM ET
LHP · 9.8 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
6.9
proj K vs Marlins
Favorable K matchup
@
RHP · 8.8 K/9 · 104 Stuff+
5.3
proj K vs Phillies
Neutral matchup
Dodgers @ CardinalsBusch Stadium · 2:15 PM ET
Justin Wrobleski
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 8.5 K/9 · 106 Stuff+
5.0
proj K vs Dodgers
Tough K matchup
Diamondbacks @ CubsWrigley Field · 2:20 PM ET
RHP · 8 K/9 · 104 Stuff+
5.8
proj K vs Cubs
Neutral matchup
@
Matthew Boyd
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Braves @ RockiesCoors Field · 3:10 PM ET
RHP · 13 K/9 · 135 Stuff+
8.6
proj K vs Rockies
Favorable K matchup
@
LHP · 7.5 K/9 · 94 Stuff+
4.3
proj K vs Braves
Neutral matchup
Guardians @ AthleticsSutter Health Park · 4:05 PM ET
Parker Messick
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 8 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
4.6
proj K vs Guardians
Tough K matchup
Mets @ AngelsAngel Stadium · 4:07 PM ET
Clay Holmes
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Jack Kochanowicz
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Royals @ MarinersT-Mobile Park · 4:10 PM ET
Kris Bubic
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 9.2 K/9 · 113 Stuff+
6.5
proj K vs Royals
Tough K matchup
Sox @ PadresPetco Park · 4:10 PM ET
Anthony Kay
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 8.5 K/9 · 101 Stuff+
5.8
proj K vs Sox
Favorable K matchup
Rangers @ TigersComerica Park · 7:20 PM ET
Jack Leiter
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Tyler Holton
Outside tracked rotation
proj K

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Proj K reflects each pitcher's baseline rate adjusted for the opposing lineup's strikeout rate vs. that hand (L3) and the ballpark's strikeout environment (L4). Game-day weather (L2) is applied in the live engine. For entertainment purposes only.

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