HomeMatchups › 2025-09-12

MLB Pitcher Strikeout Props — Friday, September 12, 2025

Top projected strikeout arms on Friday, September 12, 2025: Tarik Skubal (9.2 K), Luis Castillo (7.2 K), Pablo Lopez (6.9 K). Projected strikeouts for every probable starter, adjusted for opponent K-rate and ballpark. 15 games on the slate.

‹ Prev  ·  Today  ·  Next ›

Projected starters

Rays @ CubsWrigley Field · 2:20 PM ET
RHP · 8 K/9 · 114 Stuff+
4.9
proj K vs Cubs
Tough K matchup
@
Matthew Boyd
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Pirates @ NationalsNationals Park · 6:45 PM ET
RHP · 9 K/9 · 109 Stuff+
6.0
proj K vs Nationals
Tough K matchup
@
Brad Lord
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Royals @ PhilliesCitizens Bank Park · 6:45 PM ET
RHP · 7.5 K/9 · 97 Stuff+
4.4
proj K vs Phillies
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 7.5 K/9 · 98 Stuff+
3.8
proj K vs Royals
Tough K matchup
Orioles @ JaysRogers Centre · 7:07 PM ET
LHP · 8.2 K/9 · 103 Stuff+
5.1
proj K vs Jays
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 7.5 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
5.0
proj K vs Orioles
Neutral matchup
Rangers @ MetsCiti Field · 7:10 PM ET
Jacob deGrom
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
Jonah Tong
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Sox @ GuardiansProgressive Field · 7:10 PM ET
LHP · 7.5 K/9 · 96 Stuff+
4.1
proj K vs Guardians
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 7 K/9 · 107 Stuff+
4.5
proj K vs Sox
Neutral matchup
Tigers @ MarlinsloanDepot park · 7:10 PM ET
LHP · 11 K/9 · 130 Stuff+
9.2
proj K vs Marlins
Favorable K matchup
@
RHP · 6.4 K/9 · 116 Stuff+
4.6
proj K vs Tigers
Neutral matchup
Yankees @ SoxFenway Park · 7:10 PM ET
RHP · 10.2 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
5.9
proj K vs Sox
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 9 K/9 · 105 Stuff+
4.7
proj K vs Yankees
Tough K matchup
Astros @ BravesTruist Park · 7:15 PM ET
Jayden Murray
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
Hurston Waldrep
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Diamondbacks @ TwinsTarget Field · 8:10 PM ET
RHP · 9 K/9 · 107 Stuff+
5.5
proj K vs Twins
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 9.5 K/9 · 112 Stuff+
6.9
proj K vs Diamondbacks
Neutral matchup
Cardinals @ BrewersAmerican Family Field · 8:10 PM ET
RHP · 7 K/9 · 96 Stuff+
4.1
proj K vs Brewers
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 8 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
4.7
proj K vs Cardinals
Tough K matchup
Rockies @ PadresPetco Park · 9:40 PM ET
Tanner Gordon
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
LHP · 8.5 K/9 · 102 Stuff+
5.9
proj K vs Rockies
Favorable K matchup
Reds @ AthleticsSutter Health Park · 10:05 PM ET
RHP · 7.4 K/9 · 103 Stuff+
4.1
proj K vs Athletics
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 8.5 K/9 · 103 Stuff+
4.8
proj K vs Reds
Neutral matchup
Angels @ MarinersT-Mobile Park · 10:10 PM ET
LHP · 10 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
6.8
proj K vs Mariners
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 9.2 K/9 · 113 Stuff+
7.2
proj K vs Angels
Favorable K matchup
Dodgers @ GiantsOracle Park · 10:15 PM ET
RHP · 8.8 K/9 · 128 Stuff+
6.0
proj K vs Giants
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 9 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
5.6
proj K vs Dodgers
Tough K matchup

Want weather + park-adjusted lines?

The live engine layers game-day weather, air density, and Bayesian modeling on top of these baselines.

Open PitchProphet Engine →

Proj K reflects each pitcher's baseline rate adjusted for the opposing lineup's strikeout rate vs. that hand (L3) and the ballpark's strikeout environment (L4). Game-day weather (L2) is applied in the live engine. For entertainment purposes only.

📬 Get the Daily Prophet Locks

One email each morning with the day's highest-conviction strikeout props. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

By subscribing, you agree to the Privacy Notice and Terms. We use your email to send PitchProphet updates; unsubscribe anytime.