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MLB Pitcher Strikeout Props — Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Top projected strikeout arms today: Tyler Glasnow (8.3 K), Aaron Nola (7.4 K), Jack Flaherty (6.8 K). Projected strikeouts for every probable starter, adjusted for opponent K-rate and ballpark. 20 games on the slate.

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Astros @ OriolesEd Smith Stadium · 1:05 PM ET
Colton Gordon
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 7.7 K/9 · 114 Stuff+
4.7
proj K vs Astros
Tough K matchup
Yankees @ SoxJetBlue Park · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 10.2 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
6.1
proj K vs Sox
Neutral matchup
@
LHP · 11.5 K/9 · 118 Stuff+
6.8
proj K vs Yankees
Tough K matchup
Canada @ PhilliesBayCare Ballpark · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 7.5 K/9 · 95 Stuff+
4.5
proj K vs Phillies
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 9.5 K/9 · 115 Stuff+
7.4
proj K vs Canada
Colombia @ BravesCoolToday Park · 1:05 PM ET
Luis Patiño
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Elieser Hernández
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Netherlands @ RaysCharlotte Sports Park · 1:05 PM ET
Juan Carlos Sulbaran
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Jake Woodford
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Nicaragua @ CardinalsRoger Dean Chevrolet Stadium · 1:05 PM ET
Dilmer Mejia
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
LHP · 8.5 K/9 · 101 Stuff+
5.2
proj K vs Nicaragua
Panama @ TigersPublix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium · 1:05 PM ET
Jaime Barria
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 10.2 K/9 · 112 Stuff+
6.8
proj K vs Panama
Rico @ TwinsLee Health Sports Complex · 1:05 PM ET
Raymond Burgos
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Zebby Matthews
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Israel @ MetsClover Park · 1:10 PM ET
Ben Simon
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
LHP · 8.5 K/9 · 101 Stuff+
5.2
proj K vs Israel
Tigers @ RepublicEstadio Quisqueya Juan Marichal · 2:05 PM ET
Burch Smith
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 9 K/9 · 103 Stuff+
6.0
proj K vs Tigers
Neutral matchup
Diamondbacks @ AthleticsHohokam Stadium · 3:05 PM ET
RHP · 9 K/9 · 107 Stuff+
6.4
proj K vs Athletics
Favorable K matchup
@
LHP · 7.8 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
4.5
proj K vs Diamondbacks
Neutral matchup
Brazil @ RangersSurprise Stadium · 3:05 PM ET
Enzo Sawayama
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Jacob deGrom
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Reds @ CubaGoodyear Ballpark · 3:05 PM ET
TBD
Probable not announced
@
Rhett Lowder
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Mexico @ DodgersCamelback Ranch · 3:05 PM ET
TBD
Probable not announced
@
RHP · 12.5 K/9 · 130 Stuff+
8.3
proj K vs Mexico
Cubs @ BrewersAmerican Family Fields of Phoenix · 3:10 PM ET
RHP · 10 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
5.6
proj K vs Brewers
Neutral matchup
@
Brandon Sproat
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Britain @ PadresPeoria Stadium · 3:10 PM ET
TBD
Probable not announced
@
RHP · 9 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
6.5
proj K vs Britain
Italy @ AngelsTempe Diablo Stadium · 3:10 PM ET
Gabriele Quattrini
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Mitch Farris
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
States @ RockiesSalt River Fields at Talking Stick · 3:10 PM ET
Ryan Yarbrough
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
LHP · 7.5 K/9 · 94 Stuff+
4.6
proj K vs States
Venezuela @ NationalsCACTI Park of the Palm Beaches · 6:05 PM ET
LHP · 6.6 K/9 · 102 Stuff+
4.4
proj K vs Nationals
Neutral matchup
@
Foster Griffin
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Mariners @ GiantsScottsdale Stadium · 9:05 PM ET
Cooper Criswell
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
LHP · 8.4 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
5.4
proj K vs Mariners
Neutral matchup

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Proj K reflects each pitcher's baseline rate adjusted for the opposing lineup's strikeout rate vs. that hand (L3) and the ballpark's strikeout environment (L4). Game-day weather (L2) is applied in the live engine. For entertainment purposes only.

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