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MLB Pitcher Strikeout Props — Thursday, March 5, 2026

Top projected strikeout arms today: Chris Sale (7.1 K), Sean Burke (7.0 K), Cole Ragans (6.9 K). Projected strikeouts for every probable starter, adjusted for opponent K-rate and ballpark. 14 games on the slate.

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Mets @ NationalsCACTI Park of the Palm Beaches · 1:05 PM ET
Justin Hagenman
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 6.5 K/9 · 96 Stuff+
4.2
proj K vs Mets
Neutral matchup
Cardinals @ PiratesLECOM Park · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 8.3 K/9 · 106 Stuff+
5.3
proj K vs Pirates
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 7.1 K/9 · 109 Stuff+
4.0
proj K vs Cardinals
Tough K matchup
Orioles @ RaysCharlotte Sports Park · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 8 K/9 · 102 Stuff+
5.4
proj K vs Rays
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 9.2 K/9 · 106 Stuff+
5.9
proj K vs Orioles
Neutral matchup
Sox @ PhilliesBayCare Ballpark · 1:05 PM ET
T.J. Sikkema
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
LHP · 10.2 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
6.4
proj K vs Sox
Neutral matchup
Jays @ BravesCoolToday Park · 1:05 PM ET
Eric Lauer
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
LHP · 10.6 K/9 · 115 Stuff+
7.1
proj K vs Jays
Neutral matchup
Twins @ YankeesGeorge M. Steinbrenner Field · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 8.8 K/9 · 104 Stuff+
5.2
proj K vs Yankees
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 7 K/9 · 96 Stuff+
4.4
proj K vs Twins
Tough K matchup
Astros @ MarlinsRoger Dean Chevrolet Stadium · 1:10 PM ET
Tatsuya Imai
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 6.7 K/9 · 116 Stuff+
4.5
proj K vs Astros
Tough K matchup
Diamondbacks @ CubsSloan Park · 3:05 PM ET
RHP · 6.7 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
4.2
proj K vs Cubs
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 6.7 K/9 · 103 Stuff+
5.0
proj K vs Diamondbacks
Neutral matchup
Dodgers @ RedsGoodyear Ballpark · 3:05 PM ET
Cole Irvin
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Jose Franco
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Athletics @ AngelsTempe Diablo Stadium · 3:10 PM ET
Luis Morales
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Alek Manoah
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Padres @ MarinersPeoria Stadium · 3:10 PM ET
RHP · 7.5 K/9 · 98 Stuff+
4.3
proj K vs Mariners
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 9.2 K/9 · 113 Stuff+
6.6
proj K vs Padres
Neutral matchup
Brewers @ RockiesSalt River Fields at Talking Stick · 3:10 PM ET
Robert Gasser
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 7.5 K/9 · 97 Stuff+
4.6
proj K vs Brewers
Neutral matchup
Rangers @ RoyalsSurprise Stadium · 8:05 PM ET
LHP · 9.9 K/9 · 107 Stuff+
5.7
proj K vs Royals
Neutral matchup
@
LHP · 10.5 K/9 · 115 Stuff+
6.9
proj K vs Rangers
Neutral matchup
Guardians @ SoxCamelback Ranch · 8:05 PM ET
RHP · 7.9 K/9 · 107 Stuff+
5.4
proj K vs Sox
Favorable K matchup
@
RHP · 9 K/9 · 98 Stuff+
7.0
proj K vs Guardians
Tough K matchup

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Proj K reflects each pitcher's baseline rate adjusted for the opposing lineup's strikeout rate vs. that hand (L3) and the ballpark's strikeout environment (L4). Game-day weather (L2) is applied in the live engine. For entertainment purposes only.

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