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MLB Pitcher Strikeout Props — Friday, March 6, 2026

Top projected strikeout arms today: Gavin Williams (7.1 K), Sean Manaea (6.6 K), Reynaldo Lopez (6.2 K). Projected strikeouts for every probable starter, adjusted for opponent K-rate and ballpark. 16 games on the slate.

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Sox @ TigersPublix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium · 1:05 PM ET
LHP · 8.7 K/9 · 102 Stuff+
5.2
proj K vs Tigers
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 9 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
5.9
proj K vs Sox
Neutral matchup
Nationals @ AstrosCACTI Park of the Palm Beaches · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 9 K/9 · 104 Stuff+
4.7
proj K vs Astros
Tough K matchup
@
Mike Burrows
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Cardinals @ OriolesEd Smith Stadium · 1:05 PM ET
RHP · 5.7 K/9 · 97 Stuff+
3.6
proj K vs Orioles
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 7.5 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
4.6
proj K vs Cardinals
Tough K matchup
Phillies @ PiratesLECOM Park · 1:05 PM ET
Jean Cabrera
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Braxton Ashcraft
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Pirates @ JaysTD Ballpark · 1:07 PM ET
Bubba Chandler
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 8.8 K/9 · 103 Stuff+
6.0
proj K vs Pirates
Neutral matchup
Angels @ GuardiansGoodyear Ballpark · 3:05 PM ET
LHP · 10 K/9 · 104 Stuff+
6.1
proj K vs Guardians
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 10.3 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
7.1
proj K vs Angels
Favorable K matchup
Rockies @ AthleticsHohokam Stadium · 3:05 PM ET
Chase Dollander
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 7.9 K/9 · 103 Stuff+
5.4
proj K vs Rockies
Favorable K matchup
Reds @ GiantsScottsdale Stadium · 3:05 PM ET
LHP · 6.8 K/9 · 95 Stuff+
4.1
proj K vs Giants
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 9.5 K/9 · 107 Stuff+
6.2
proj K vs Reds
Neutral matchup
Mariners @ RangersSurprise Stadium · 3:05 PM ET
Kade Anderson
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Jack Leiter
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Sox @ DiamondbacksSalt River Fields at Talking Stick · 3:10 PM ET
Anthony Kay
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Daniel Eagen
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Diamondbacks @ BrewersAmerican Family Fields of Phoenix · 3:10 PM ET
Mitch Bratt
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Chad Patrick
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Braves @ TwinsLee Health Sports Complex · 6:05 PM ET
RHP · 10 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
6.2
proj K vs Twins
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 9 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
5.9
proj K vs Braves
Neutral matchup
Rays @ YankeesGeorge M. Steinbrenner Field · 6:35 PM ET
Joe Boyle
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Cam Schlittler
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Mets @ MarlinsRoger Dean Chevrolet Stadium · 7:10 PM ET
LHP · 9.5 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
6.6
proj K vs Marlins
Favorable K matchup
@
Max Meyer
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Royals @ DodgersCamelback Ranch · 8:05 PM ET
RHP · 8 K/9 · 101 Stuff+
4.3
proj K vs Dodgers
Tough K matchup
@
Ryder Ryan
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Cubs @ PadresPeoria Stadium · 8:10 PM ET
Ben Brown
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Germán Márquez
Outside tracked rotation
proj K

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Proj K reflects each pitcher's baseline rate adjusted for the opposing lineup's strikeout rate vs. that hand (L3) and the ballpark's strikeout environment (L4). Game-day weather (L2) is applied in the live engine. For entertainment purposes only.

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