HomeMatchups › 2026-05-09

MLB Pitcher Strikeout Props — Saturday, May 9, 2026

Top projected strikeout arms today: Spencer Strider (8.4 K), Aaron Nola (7.6 K), Luis Castillo (7.3 K). Projected strikeouts for every probable starter, adjusted for opponent K-rate and ballpark. 15 games on the slate.

‹ Prev  ·  Today  ·  Next ›
Angels @ JaysRogers Centre · 3:07 PM ET
Jack Kochanowicz
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Trey Yesavage
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Athletics @ OriolesOriole Park at Camden Yards · 4:05 PM ET
RHP · 8 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
4.9
proj K vs Orioles
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 10.5 K/9 · 114 Stuff+
6.8
proj K vs Athletics
Favorable K matchup
Astros @ RedsGreat American Ball Park · 4:10 PM ET
RHP · 9.5 K/9 · 105 Stuff+
6.8
proj K vs Reds
Neutral matchup
@
Chase Burns
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Nationals @ MarlinsloanDepot park · 4:10 PM ET
Richard Lovelady
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Janson Junk
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Rockies @ PhilliesCitizens Bank Park · 6:05 PM ET
LHP · 7.5 K/9 · 94 Stuff+
4.5
proj K vs Phillies
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 9.5 K/9 · 115 Stuff+
7.6
proj K vs Rockies
Favorable K matchup
Twins @ GuardiansProgressive Field · 6:10 PM ET
RHP · 10 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
6.1
proj K vs Guardians
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 9 K/9 · 107 Stuff+
5.8
proj K vs Twins
Tough K matchup
Cubs @ RangersGlobe Life Field · 7:05 PM ET
RHP · 10 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
5.5
proj K vs Rangers
Neutral matchup
@
Jack Leiter
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Tigers @ RoyalsKauffman Stadium · 7:10 PM ET
Burch Smith
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Michael Wacha
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Mariners @ SoxRate Field · 7:10 PM ET
RHP · 9.2 K/9 · 113 Stuff+
7.3
proj K vs Sox
Favorable K matchup
@
Anthony Kay
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Yankees @ BrewersAmerican Family Field · 7:10 PM ET
Cam Schlittler
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
LHP · 10.2 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
6.5
proj K vs Yankees
Tough K matchup
Mets @ DiamondbacksChase Field · 7:15 PM ET
Clay Holmes
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
RHP · 8 K/9 · 104 Stuff+
5.7
proj K vs Mets
Neutral matchup
Cardinals @ PadresPetco Park · 7:15 PM ET
RHP · 8.5 K/9 · 106 Stuff+
5.2
proj K vs Padres
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 8.5 K/9 · 101 Stuff+
4.9
proj K vs Cardinals
Tough K matchup
Pirates @ GiantsOracle Park · 9:05 PM ET
Braxton Ashcraft
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
@
Landen Roupp
Outside tracked rotation
proj K
Braves @ DodgersUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 9:10 PM ET
RHP · 13 K/9 · 135 Stuff+
8.4
proj K vs Dodgers
Tough K matchup
@
LHP · 11.5 K/9 · 118 Stuff+
6.9
proj K vs Braves
Neutral matchup
Rays @ SoxFenway Park · 4:10 PM ET
RHP · 8.5 K/9 · 101 Stuff+
5.5
proj K vs Sox
Neutral matchup
@
Payton Tolle
Outside tracked rotation
proj K

Want weather + park-adjusted lines?

The live engine layers game-day weather, air density, and Bayesian modeling on top of these baselines.

Open PitchProphet Engine →

Proj K reflects each pitcher's baseline rate adjusted for the opposing lineup's strikeout rate vs. that hand (L3) and the ballpark's strikeout environment (L4). Game-day weather (L2) is applied in the live engine. For entertainment purposes only.

📬 Get the Daily Prophet Locks

One email each morning with the day's highest-conviction strikeout props. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.