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MLB Pitcher Strikeout Props — Saturday, July 4, 2026

Top projected strikeout arms on Saturday, July 4, 2026: Hunter Greene (7.6 K), Jesus Luzardo (7.3 K), Chris Sale (7.3 K). Projected strikeouts for every probable starter, adjusted for opponent K-rate and ballpark. 15 games on the slate.

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Projected starters

Pirates @ NationalsNationals Park · 11:05 AM ET
Braxton Ashcraft
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
Carson Palmquist
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Twins @ YankeesYankee Stadium · 1:35 PM ET
Zebby Matthews
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
Brendan Beck
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Tigers @ RangersGlobe Life Field · 4:05 PM ET
RHP · 10.2 K/9 · 112 Stuff+
6.7
proj K vs Rangers
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 7.5 K/9 · 95 Stuff+
4.6
proj K vs Tigers
Neutral matchup
Jays @ MarinersT-Mobile Park · 4:10 PM ET
RHP · 9.5 K/9 · 112 Stuff+
6.8
proj K vs Mariners
Neutral matchup
@
RHP · 9.6 K/9 · 115 Stuff+
5.5
proj K vs Jays
Tough K matchup
Orioles @ RedsGreat American Ball Park · 7:10 PM ET
Brandon Young
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
RHP · 11.5 K/9 · 122 Stuff+
7.6
proj K vs Orioles
Neutral matchup
Rays @ AstrosDaikin Park · 7:10 PM ET
Drew Rasmussen
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
RHP · 9.5 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
5.5
proj K vs Rays
Tough K matchup
Sox @ GuardiansProgressive Field · 7:10 PM ET
RHP · 9.8 K/9 · 98 Stuff+
6.3
proj K vs Guardians
Tough K matchup
@
Parker Messick
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Cardinals @ CubsWrigley Field · 8:08 PM ET
Kyle Leahy
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
Shota Imanaga
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Mets @ BravesTruist Park · 8:08 PM ET
LHP · 9.5 K/9 · 108 Stuff+
6.0
proj K vs Braves
Tough K matchup
@
LHP · 11 K/9 · 115 Stuff+
7.3
proj K vs Mets
Neutral matchup
Giants @ RockiesCoors Field · 8:10 PM ET
LHP · 7.6 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
4.9
proj K vs Rockies
Favorable K matchup
@
Sean Sullivan
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Phillies @ RoyalsKauffman Stadium · 8:10 PM ET
LHP · 11.1 K/9 · 110 Stuff+
7.3
proj K vs Royals
Tough K matchup
@
Michael Wacha
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Sox @ AngelsAngel Stadium · 9:38 PM ET
RHP · 8.1 K/9 · 112 Stuff+
5.7
proj K vs Angels
Favorable K matchup
@
Sam Aldegheri
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
Marlins @ AthleticsSutter Health Park · 9:40 PM ET
RHP · 6.4 K/9 · 116 Stuff+
4.4
proj K vs Athletics
Tough K matchup
@
RHP · 8 K/9 · 100 Stuff+
4.6
proj K vs Marlins
Tough K matchup
Brewers @ DiamondbacksChase Field · 9:40 PM ET
Brandon Woodruff
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
RHP · 6 K/9 · 104 Stuff+
3.6
proj K vs Brewers
Neutral matchup
Padres @ DodgersUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 10:10 PM ET
Wandy Peralta
Outside tracked rotation — no verified projection
proj K
@
RHP · 8.8 K/9 · 128 Stuff+
6.2
proj K vs Padres
Tough K matchup

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Proj K reflects each pitcher's baseline rate adjusted for the opposing lineup's strikeout rate vs. that hand (L3) and the ballpark's strikeout environment (L4). Game-day weather (L2) is applied in the live engine. For entertainment purposes only.

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